A 2023 planning review compared two product families. Actual quantities were 1,200 and 800 units; their forecasts were 1,600 and 400. Both actual and forecast totals were 2,000. A summary based only on the net total error therefore looked exact, even though each family was wrong by 400 units in the opposite direction.
The sum of absolute family errors was 800 units, or 40% of the 2,000 actual units on that defined quantity basis. That measure did not mean every forecast elsewhere in the company was 40% wrong. It showed why the correct total could not answer the mix question relevant to this reviewed planning decision.
We approved a ₹73 lakh planning-measurement programme. My team worked with operating and commercial colleagues to make the level of the decision explicit. A total can be useful for one purpose while failing to distinguish the family quantities another purpose needs. The problem was not that totals should never be used; it was that the total's success was being allowed to stand for a more detailed result.
I did not infer actual shortages, excess stock or financial loss from the example alone. Those consequences would require their own evidence about orders, inventory and operating choices. Nor did the new measurement programme establish that future forecasts would improve. It changed the account through which the reviewed forecast could be assessed.
The case helped us discuss error without treating it as one universal score. A leader should understand which differences cancel when information is combined and whether those differences still matter to the decision. Here, opposite family errors disappeared from the total while remaining relevant to the work. Preserving them made the planning conversation more exact without manufacturing a completed business benefit.