Case I
Reopening the appraisal I had framed around ticket value
In 2018 I led an appraisal of a proposed ₹9.2 crore transaction involving a selected venue-client portfolio. My paper foregrounded ₹186 crore of ticket face value processed for those clients. Our service fees from the same portfolio were ₹12.4 crore. The larger figure made the opportunity look substantial, but described the events supported by the system rather than the income of our service business. It was not our total company revenue either. I had approved the framing and was responsible for correcting it.
Finance challenged whether the comparison supported the investment argument. The commercial team felt the throughput still demonstrated the importance of the relationships, and I agreed it had descriptive value. The disagreement concerned what decision it could justify. A large volume did not establish the durability of our fees, the cost of supporting peak dates or the rights included in a transaction. We could proceed with a prominent scale narrative and append qualifications, or reopen the appraisal around the income and commitments we would actually acquire.
I recommended reopening it. The review cost ₹37 lakh, covering revised commercial work and professional input. Finance retained responsibility for its accounting assessments and the authorised decision-makers retained investment authority. My team reworked the strategic comparison, distinguishing event activity from company income and examining the service burden behind the fees. The revised paper also retained uncertainties about the portfolio rather than converting missing material into a favourable assumption. The consequence was that the proposed transaction did not proceed.
I gave up the momentum of a recommendation I had helped create and accepted the expense of revisiting it. The ₹9.2 crore was proposed consideration, not a loss already incurred or cash recovered. I cannot claim that declining it prevented a particular future failure. What the decision established was narrower: the investment case originally presented was not supported by the economic basis we needed. My lesson was to ask what a number belongs to before making its size the organising feature of a strategic argument. Throughput can describe reach, but it should not silently become a substitute for the business's own earnings and obligations.