Case 01
Explaining a forwarding business whose revenue fell while gross profit rose
In the 2024 review of a defined forwarding business, revenue fell from SGD168 million to SGD142 million. Purchased freight costs fell from SGD136 million to SGD108 million, so gross profit moved from SGD32 million to SGD34 million before staff, property and other overhead. The opening board commentary focused on the revenue decline. It risked presenting a changing freight-rate environment as a complete account of commercial performance.
The sales director wanted the higher gross-profit percentage to demonstrate improved execution. Operations colleagues pointed out that the mix of shipments and purchased services had also changed. I asked for a bridge separating rate movements, volume, customer mix and service scope. We did not have evidence to attribute the entire SGD2 million improvement to one initiative. A higher percentage on a smaller revenue base could be informative without proving that every underlying account had become more profitable.
I changed the management presentation to show the two absolute gross-profit amounts alongside the revenue and purchased-cost movements. The gross-profit ratios were approximately 19.0 per cent and 23.9 per cent. We retained the cost boundary and then considered overhead separately. This was a comparison of the defined forwarding business over two annual periods, not a reconciliation to Neravelle's later SGD188 million whole-company 2025 revenue. Accounting colleagues reviewed the relevant gross or net presentation against the actual contractual responsibilities rather than applying a blanket rule to every shipment.
The board continued investment in selected customer-service capacity but asked management to examine lanes where the contribution had weakened despite a favourable aggregate ratio. That meant accepting more detailed analysis and resisting a simpler success story. The practical outcome was a more accurate performance discussion, not a claim that changing the report itself created SGD2 million. I learnt that finance can improve a board's judgement by refusing to let either a disappointing headline or an attractive percentage stand in for the business beneath it.
I would explain the relationship between forwarding revenue and purchased transport before issuing the first forecast, allowing directors to interpret a smaller top line without an unnecessary deterioration narrative.