Case 01
Giving the next scale its own engineering question
In March 2024, an oral-dose development programme had completed its planned 50-kilogram engineering runs. The investment timetable assumed that a 300-kilogram route could follow with the same operating instructions. Manufacturing colleagues preferred to reserve the larger equipment immediately: delaying the reservation could move the programme behind another project. I was concerned that the proposed sixfold increase described mass without explaining the changed equipment and material experience.
I asked process and operations specialists to identify the assumptions that the larger run would actually test. The programme concentrated on loading, mixing behaviour and the drying endpoint for this formulation. We did not invent universal operating limits from a smaller run. The team prepared a separate engineering plan for the larger equipment, with quality involvement and clear separation from any later validation or release decision. Reserving capacity remained useful, but it could no longer be presented as evidence that the process was ready.
The twelve-week programme cost CNY 4.6 million and used three planned 300-kilogram engineering runs. The first exposed a drying difference that required investigation. All observations remained in the development account. The revised plan examined a changed endpoint approach in the remaining runs, with the rationale and conditions recorded. The work supported choosing a particular equipment route for further development; it did not establish commercial validation, product approval or patient benefit.
The consequence was a six-week movement in the investment decision date and the loss of the originally preferred equipment slot. That was an actual cost to the schedule, not a delay erased by later technical progress. The manufacturing sponsor accepted the revised route after seeing both the development evidence and the new capacity implications. We had purchased a better-founded next decision rather than certainty about every future batch.
I would bring equipment specialists into the initial programme estimate earlier next time. The important omission was not a missing test added late; it was allowing a scale assumption to become a scheduling fact before the people responsible for the receiving equipment had examined it.